Intelligence Analysis as Discovery of Evidence, Hypotheses, and Arguments: Connecting the Dots
Mega Sale! Free Shipping Included! Save 30% on the Intelligence Analysis as Discovery of Evidence, Hypotheses, and Arguments: Connecting the Dots by Cambridge University Press at Translate This Website. Hurry! Limited time offer. Offer valid only while supplies last. This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved
This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses as explanations or answers; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and discover new evidence; and we test the hypotheses with the discovered evidence. To facilitate understanding of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; and assess the relevance and the believability of evidence, which combine in complex ways to determine its inferential force and the probabilities of the hypotheses.
|Manufacturer:||Cambridge University Press|
|Publisher:||Cambridge University Press|
|Studio:||Cambridge University Press|
|Item Weight:||0 pounds|
|Item Size:||0.67 x 9.96 x 9.96 inches|
|Package Weight:||1.3 pounds|
|Package Size:||7.2 x 0.7 x 0.7 inches|
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